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Navigating systemic global multidimensional crises

As concurrent crises collide ahead of Bangkok’s IMF-World Bank meetings, small and emerging economies are left footing the bill for a fractured global order they did not create.

Dan Steinbock   (The Jakarta Post)
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New York, United States
Wed, September 30, 2026

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Talking point: IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during a press conference during the IMF/World Bank annual meetings at the IMF headquarters in Washington, DC, on Oct. 16, 2025. Talking point: IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during a press conference during the IMF/World Bank annual meetings at the IMF headquarters in Washington, DC, on Oct. 16, 2025. (AFP/Brendan Smialowski)

A

s the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank prepare for their 2026 Annual Meetings in Bangkok in mid-October, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva faces an overwhelming accumulation of concurrent global shocks.

For small and medium-sized powers—especially highly exposed, export-driven or energy-importing nations—the upcoming discussions are overshadowed by systemic vulnerabilities.

There are half a dozen headaches that will keep Georgieva and the meeting participants awake at night.

Renewed debt threats are heavily penalizing developing and middle-income economies as advanced markets keep interest rates higher for longer, thanks to unwarranted conflicts, and rearmament rather than appropriate fiscal support.

First, the cost of price stability is rising. The monetary tightening by major central banks to fight lingering inflation has triggered a severe spike in debt-servicing costs globally.

Second, there’s the challenge of fiscal consolidation inertia. Global public debt is on track to surpass 100 percent of GDP by 2029. Georgieva has repeatedly flagged that while there is universal awareness of the need for fiscal discipline, governments are failing to take sufficient concrete action.

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However, the problem is that this tendency for governments to prolong austerity measures or spending cuts even after an economic crisis has passed is highly counterproductive because it is fostering a self-reinforcing cycle of economic stagnation. Austerity won’t resolve effectively secular or geopolitical challenges, but it can worsen each.

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